Here’s an analysis of the CRS score’s reduction probability in 2024. To begin with, we must delve into the pattern of 2023, which clearly depicts a fantastic year for Canadian immigration. Several policies, modifications, and initiatives came into the picture last year.
However, one of the most prominent trends continued to be the significance of CRS scores under the Express Entry system. In 2023, the Express Entry draws witnessed increased CRS scores that were more than average. Interestingly, the CRS scores were as high as 791 in a few cases. As a result, most people are in flux about whether 2024 there is any possibility of reduced CRS scores.
Analysis of the CRS score’s reduction probability in 2024 – What are the predictions?
Overall, it is a bit challenging to predict a wholesome outcome about CRS scores completely. One of the primary reasons behind this difficulty is that the prediction solely relies on the Express Entry pool’s constitution for the entire year. Particularly, with the CRS scores changing throughout the year, this will largely influence the lowest CRS score requirement in a draw and might even influence the draw size.
Furthermore, the second biggest reason behind the challenge of predicting the CRS scores is the launch of the Express Entry Category-Based Draws in 2023. These draws are targeted and depend on the new categories of Express Entry, which depict Canada’s labor market and demographic requirements.
- Healthcare occupations;
- STEM occupations;
- Trade occupations;
- Transport occupations;
- Agriculture and agri-food occupations; and
- French language proficiency.
Candidates who fall into these categories, regardless of their relatively lower CRS score (which makes predicting future scores even more difficult), can frequently receive invitations to apply (ITAs) for permanent residence because they represent targeted groups that IRCC recognizes as crucial for immigration. Despite this, the majority of applicants will probably gain more from optimizing their CRS score before trying to get an ITA through one of these category-based draws.
Incorporating Provincial Nominee Program candidates in the Express Entry draws is the final important consideration.
General or all-program draws
The Federal Skilled Worker Program (FSWP), the FSTP, and the Canadian Experience Class (CEC) are examples of all-program draws. This was the typical Express Entry draw format before the implementation of category-based drawings earlier in 2023, where candidates were chosen only based on their CRS score ranking.
19 all-program draws produced 76,700 ITAs throughout the course of the year, with the highest possible CRS score cut-off at 561 points and the lowest possible score at 481 points.
PNP Draws
There were five PNP draws in 2023, and 4,396 ITAs were awarded to candidates. For this group, the lowest CRS score cut-off was 691, and the highest was 791.
| Draw Date | CRS Cut-off |
|---|---|
| 01-02-23 | 733 |
| 15-02-23 | 791 |
| 01-03-23 | 748 |
| 10-05-23 | 691 |
| 24-10-23 | 776 |
Healthcare Professions
The Express Entry pool of candidates included those with experience in healthcare-related professions, such as nursing, medicine, physician, and many other job titles. Three healthcare drawings were held in 2023, totaling 5,600 ITAs. For this group, the highest recorded CRS score was 476, while the lowest possible score was 431.
| Draw Date | CRS Cut-off |
|---|---|
| 28-06-23 | 476 |
| 06-07-23 | 463 |
| 26-10-23 | 431 |
STEM Occupations
Candidates under the Express Entry pool with experience in four related fields. These include Civil Engineers, Software Developers, Mathematicians, and Web Designers. They were classified as STEM workers. Two healthcare draws constituted 6,400 ITAs in 2023.
| Draw Date | CRS Cut-off |
|---|---|
| 05-07-23 | 486 |
| 08-12-23 | 481 |
Trade Occupations
Candidates with experience in trade occupations included machine fitters, carpenters, plumbers, electricians, and more. Two transport-related Express Entry draws in 2023 produced 2,500 ITAs for applicants.
| Draw Date | CRS Cut-off |
|---|---|
| 03-08-23 | 388 |
| 19-12-23 | 425 |
Transport Occupations
Candidates with experience in transportation-related fields, such as air traffic controllers, aircraft assemblers, managers, and transport truck drivers, are preferred in the transport occupation. In 2023, 1,670 individuals received ITAs from two transit draws.
| Draw Date | CRS Cut-off |
|---|---|
| 20-09-23 | 435 |
| 20-12-23 | 435 |
Agricultural and Agri-Food
Candidates with professional expertise as butchers, agricultural service contractors, farm supervisors, and other roles are attracted to the agriculture and agri-food industries. In 2023, two draws focused on agriculture and agri-food produced 1,000 ITAs for candidates.
| Draw Date | CRS Cut-off |
|---|---|
| 28-09-23 | 354 |
| 21-12-23 | 386 |
French Language Skills
The Niveaux de Compétence Linguistique Canadiens (NCLC) is Canada’s French language grading system. It identifies candidates whose proficiency in the language is equivalent to a level 7 in each of the four language competencies. These include reading, writing, speaking, and listening. In 2023, eight thousand ITAs were granted to candidates in six French language draws. The lowest cut-off CRS score was 375, while the highest cut-off was 486.
| Draw Date | CRS Cut-off |
|---|---|
| 07-07-23 | 439 |
| 12-07-23 | 375 |
| 02-08-23 | 435 |
| 27-09-23 | 472 |
| 25-10-23 | 486 |
| 07-12-23 | 470 |
Our immigration representatives at Make Home Canada have immense knowledge of Canada Express Entry. To clarify your doubts or queries, you may write to us at [email protected]
