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Canada’s population statistics prediction in 2041

Canada’s population statistics prediction in 2041
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Canada’s population statistics prediction in 2041

The latest report by Statistics Canada revealed that a lot could change in the upcoming years for Canada. The report revealed its latest prediction related to the demographics of the country.

Interestingly, the predictions have been derived from 2016’s data from the census concerning Canada’s population. The previous data insights help us understand the current pattern and statistics in terms of the country’s demography in the next nineteen years.

Immigrants would occupy a majority of space in the Canadian population by 2041

Immigration is constantly driving the population of Canada and the trend is going to continue in the upcoming years too. Statistics Canada also predicted that Canada’s immigration population could rise anywhere from 7.2 % to 12.1 % between 2016 and 2041.

As per official reports, the 2016 data suggests that the percentage of Canadian immigrants was up to 21.9 % and it further increased from 29.1 % to 34.0 % in the upcoming 19 years. The estimated percentage would also break the previous record in the entire history of 155 years.

50% population of Canada will comprise immigrants and their children born in Canada

The already anticipated increase in the population of Canada concerning immigrants implies that around 52.4 percent of the entire Canadian population will include immigrants and their children born in the country.

Earlier in 2016, the population of immigrants had risen to 14.4 million, which indicates that there would be a 12.4 percent increase.

On the whole, the estimated figure of 52.4 percent could go up to 54.3 percent and it could only lower down to 49.8 percent.

The percentage of immigrants and their children born in Canada could lie in the range of 23.7 and 25.9 million. The estimated population of Canada would account for 47.7 million in 2041.

Racialized population in 2041

As per the demographics of Statistics Canada, the racialized group could touch the possibility of 16.4 and 22.3 million individuals. The figure further indicates that Canada’s racialized people will continue to rise between 38.2 percent and 43 percent of its entire population. This estimate implies an increase of 22.2 percent in 2016. Initially, the figure was 8 million in 2016.

Racialized population refers to a minority group of people. Statistics Canada has used the term Visible minority group in Canada’s census population.

An estimate of Canadians born in Asia and Africa in 2041

By 2041, every one in four Canadians would have their birthplace as Asia or Africa. The estimated figures for such people would range between 9.9 and 13.9 million people to be a part of the entire Canadian population in 2041. The tentative figure implies that at least 23.1 percent to 26.9 percent of individuals in Canada.

Immigrants would continue choosing larger cities

As per the latest reports, the face of Canada’s demographics is very likely to change by 2041. However, the main fact is the consistency of these immigrants going and settling in the country. Their choice of places in Canada is likely to remain the same.

The housing market and urban infrastructure development are the primary factors that result in this consistency of preferences.

The Census Metropolitan Area (CMA) and three major cities Toronto, Montreal, and Vancouver will be the targets of the immigrants.

Canada’s future as a nation

The ethnocultural gap within Canada will only widen and worsen with time due to the prediction of immigration is likely to increase in the upcoming years.  

The racialized group of people is expected to increase in Canada by 2041. The national average percentage of racialized people is more than 41 percent. The increase will go above the average in countries including Vancouver, Edmonton, Ottawa-Gatineau, Winnipeg, Abbotsford-Mission, Windsor, and Regina. On the contrary, the percentage of the racialized group is likely to fall below the average percentage in Quebec, an eastern part of Canada, and rural communities.